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macroJun 19, 2026, 7:08 AM

Relief Rally Meets Hawkish Fed Reality as Oil Pulls Back

The market narrative shifts to the US-Iran peace deal and Strait of Hormuz reopening, with crude falling to around $80/barrel. However, a hawkish Federal Reserve is capping the relief rally.

USOILUSD

The market's key narrative this week centers on the signing of a US-Iran peace agreement and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. While a move toward peace is generally positive, oil benchmarks have retreated to approximately $80 per barrel.

Despite the relief rally in risk assets, the reality of a hawkish Federal Reserve is beginning to weigh on sentiment. The Fed's tightening stance may limit further upside as traders reassess the macroeconomic outlook.

Source: FXStreet Forex News