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fxJun 5, 2026, 6:43 PM

UOB: Thai BoT Likely to Hold Rates as Inflation Remains Supply-Led

UOB Global Economics & Markets Research expects the Bank of Thailand to maintain its policy rate, citing Thailand's latest CPI data which points to cost-push rather than demand-driven inflation.

USDTHB

According to UOB Global Economics & Markets Research, the Bank of Thailand (BoT) is likely to keep its policy rate unchanged. The assessment, led by economists Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Sathit Talaengsatya, is based on the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from Thailand.

The data indicates that inflation remains supply-led (cost-push) rather than demand-driven. This suggests that the central bank sees no immediate need to adjust rates to control inflationary pressures.

  • Key takeaway: The BoT's hold stance aligns with the view that current inflation is not a result of excess demand, reducing the urgency for tightening.
  • Context: The Thai baht may remain range-bound as the rate decision supports stability.

Source: FXStreet Forex News