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US VP Vance: Talks with Iran Making 'Very Good Progress'
US Vice President JD Vance stated that negotiations between the US and Iran have advanced significantly, despite Iran's 'threatening' and 'whining' behavior, as reported by CNBC.
Australia June Flash Manufacturing PMI Rises to 51.2, Services Improve but Still in Contraction
Australia's June flash manufacturing PMI rose to 51.2 from 50.7, indicating expansion. Services PMI improved to 49.9 but remained below the 50 threshold, signaling ongoing contraction.
Trump Signs Executive Orders to Accelerate Quantum Computing Development
President Trump has signed two executive orders to boost quantum computing development, including a goal to deploy a quantum computer capable of scientific research by 2028. The orders also address preparation for encryption-breaking quantum systems, coinciding with billions in Commerce Department funding for quantum firms.
Fed's Goolsbee Warns Inflation Moving Further Above Target
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee struck a cautious tone on inflation, warning it is moving further above target and more evidence is needed before declaring price pressures temporary. He supports less forward guidance on rates and warns against excessive speculation.
Ukraine and Japan to Launch Joint Reconstruction Fund with Hitachi and Toshiba Support
Ukraine and Japan are set to announce a joint reconstruction fund backed by Hitachi, Toshiba, and Japanese institutions, with details expected at this week's Ukraine Recovery Conference.
Israel Vows to Continue Operations in Southern Lebanon to Neutralize Threats
Israel will maintain military operations in southern Lebanon to neutralize threats and dismantle terror infrastructure, according to a joint statement from top officials.
Trump and Iran at Odds Over Terms of Signed 60-Day Framework
A week after signing a 60-day framework aimed at winding down hostilities and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, the U.S. and Iran cannot agree on the document's actual terms.
Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation Well Above Target, Moving Wrong Direction
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee defended his dissent, stating inflation remains well above the central bank's target and moving in the wrong direction. He also noted a stable labor market but expressed concern over services inflation, calling for more evidence that price pressures are temporary.
Taiwan and South Korea Equity Inflows Hit Unprecedented Levels
Equity fund inflows into Taiwan have surged to 155% of assets under management since January 2024, the highest globally, with South Korea at 150%. Both markets are running at least 500% above others, and South Korea leads year-to-date at 45% of AUM.
Iran central bank says frozen assets can fund non-sanctioned goods
Iran's central bank governor stated that remaining frozen assets are not limited to essential goods and can be used to purchase other non-sanctioned items, according to Tasnim.
CFTC: Speculators Boost Bearish Bets on U.S. Treasuries
Speculators increased net short positions across most U.S. Treasury futures in the week ended June 16, with only long-bond shorts easing slightly, according to CFTC data.
CFTC: Yen Heavily Short at 150K Contracts; Euro Net Long, Bitcoin Net Long
CFTC positioning data for the week ended June 16 shows the yen heavily short at 150,132 contracts, the euro net long at 34,353, and the pound and Swiss franc net short. Bitcoin net long stands at 3,475 contracts.
Wind Turbine Technician Jobs to Grow 49.9% by 2034, BLS Says
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics projects wind turbine service technicians will be the fastest-growing occupation from 2024 to 2034, with 49.9% growth. Solar installers and nurse practitioners also see strong gains, while customer service roles decline.
Oil Prices Retreat as Geopolitical Premium Fades, Oversupply Fears Mount
Crude oil prices continue to decline as the market shifts focus from Middle East conflict risks to global oversupply concerns. Progress in US-Iran talks and weak demand from China are adding to bearish sentiment.
Oil Slides as Supply Glut Fears Replace Middle East War Premium
Crude oil prices are retreating to pre-war range as markets shift focus from Middle East disruption risks to oversupply concerns, driven by improving US-Iran talks and rising Hormuz traffic.
Europe's LNG Dependence on US Hits Near-Record ~60% of Imports
The US now supplies roughly 60% of Europe's LNG imports, near an all-time high, as the bloc's energy security increasingly ties to American gas.
US Treasuries Post Worst Real Returns Since 1980s, Structural Bear Market
Over the past decade, US Treasuries have delivered an average annual inflation-adjusted return of -3%, the worst since the 1980s, while the S&P 500 returned +12%. The gap between stocks and bonds is the widest since the 1960s.
Pre-Weekend Derisking Triggers Selling in Key Sectors, Not Peace Deal Fears
Stock bulls showed no fear of the long weekend, but selling hit key sectors before the close. The move is attributed to derisking rather than expectations that a peace memorandum could collapse.
Oil Prices Slide on Renewed Peace Talks Optimism
Oil prices fell sharply on Monday as optimism about peace talks between Russia and Ukraine dampened supply concerns, reversing earlier gains from a gap higher at the weekly open.
Iran’s Top Negotiator Travels to Oman to Discuss Strait of Hormuz Cooperation
Iran's chief negotiator will visit Oman for talks on bilateral cooperation and managing arrangements in the Strait of Hormuz, according to Foreign Minister Araghchi.
SOX Semiconductor Index Posts Historic Volatility, Up 175% in Year
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) has seen nine single-day gains of 5% or more in the last 60 trading days—a level last seen in January 2009. The index is up 175% over the past 12 months and trading at all-time highs.
TD Securities: Fed Hawkish Hold Through 2027
TD Securities forecasts the Federal Reserve will maintain a hawkish stance and keep policy rates unchanged through 2026, potentially extending into 2027.
TD Securities: Tight Summer Balances Support Higher Oil Prices
TD Securities analysts Ryan McKay and Bart Melek note that crude oil and petroleum product flows from the Middle East have rebounded sharply, but the surge is seen as temporary. Tight summer balances are expected to support higher oil prices.
Polish GDP Growth Slows in Q2, But 2026 Target Remains Achievable
Polish retail sales and construction output disappointed, causing Q2 GDP growth to fall below the 3.5% YoY rate seen in Q1. However, strong investment may still support a 3.4% growth rate by 2026.