Polymarket & Bitcoin Outlook

At the same time, several major analysts — including Standard Chartered and Bernstein — expect BTC to climb to $150,000 in 2026, with some forecasts placing the price in the $200,000–250,000 range.

The gap between market-based probabilities and sell-side forecasts highlights persistent uncertainty around macro conditions, liquidity cycles, and the pace of institutional adoption — even as long-term expectations for Bitcoin remain broadly bullish.