Market news
Crypto, stocks, forex and macro, aggregated for traders.
Fed Rate Hike Probability Jumps to 25% for July Meeting
Markets now see a 25% chance the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its July 29 meeting, a sharp reversal from earlier expectations of two rate cuts by that date.
Rabobank Cuts TTF Natural Gas Forecasts on Easing Strait of Hormuz Risks
Rabobank energy strategists lowered their TTF natural gas price forecasts, citing reduced supply risks from the Strait of Hormuz.
Commerzbank Sees Limited Downside for Oil as Iran Sanctions Ease
Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch says Brent crude has dropped below $80, briefly touching $76.5, after the US allowed Iran to export oil until at least August, but sees limited further downside.
TD Securities: Copper Sees CTA Selling as Demand Risks Outweigh Supply Worries
TD Securities notes that copper is experiencing large CTA selling as the market shifts focus from Strait of Hormuz supply risks to macro and demand-side concerns.
Micron Earnings and South Korea Tax News Drive Stock Market Volatility
Micron Technology's upcoming earnings report is fueling market swings similar to Nvidia's 2023-2024 earnings days, while South Korea's proposed tax on unrealized stock gains and record leverage amplify volatility. The broader AI narrative remains intact.
BoC Governor Warns Growing Global Imbalances Risk Financial Stability
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem stated that rising global imbalances could increase financial stability risks.
US S&P Global Composite PMI Rises to 52.2 in June
The flash estimate of the US S&P Global Composite PMI improved to 52.2 in June from 51.5 in May, indicating expansion in the private sector.
Oil Prices Drop as US Grants 60-Day Waiver on Iranian Exports
Oil prices fell sharply after the US granted a 60-day waiver allowing Iranian exports, compounding pressure from rising flows through the Strait of Hormuz, according to ING analysts.
Wall Street Opens Lower: S&P Drops 1.6%, Nasdaq Falls 2.38%
U.S. stock indices opened sharply lower. The S&P 500 fell 1.61% to 7,352.61, the Nasdaq Composite dropped 2.38% to 25,542.70, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.69% to 51,354.54.
NBC Analysts: Warsh Fed Increasing Policy Ambiguity
National Bank of Canada economists argue that a potential Kevin Warsh-led Federal Reserve is deliberately adding uncertainty by removing forward guidance, keeping markets guessing.
Kalshi restricts access for Indian users after regulatory pressure
Prediction market platform Kalshi has added India to a list of 55 jurisdictions where users are barred from the service, following a crackdown by Indian authorities on unlicensed betting and prediction platforms.
Commerzbank: Heatwaves and Outages Support Natural Gas Prices
Commerzbank analysts note that intensifying heatwaves in Europe and Asia are expected to boost electricity demand and gas-fired power generation, putting additional pressure on European storage levels.
Nasdaq 100 Futures Drop 3% on Global Tech Selloff; S. Korea Down 10%
Nasdaq 100 futures fell 3% as tech stocks globally tumbled. South Korea's stock market dropped 10% amid the selloff.
Trump Says Strait of Hormuz to Remain Open, No Naval Blockade; Claims Record Oil Flow
President Trump stated he agreed to keep the Strait of Hormuz open without a naval blockade, adding that 19 million barrels of oil transited the strait yesterday, an all-time high.
Trump: Record 19M Barrels of Oil Flowed Through Hormuz Strait, Oil Prices Falling
President Donald Trump stated that a record 19 million barrels of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz yesterday, contributing to a drop in oil prices and improved global safety.
Aluminium Market Still in Deficit Despite Rising Output, ING Says
ING strategists note that global aluminium output is increasing, yet the market remains in deficit due to capacity losses in the Middle East.
US-Iran Agreement Drives Oil Lower, Q3 Outlook Favorable
The signing of a framework agreement and subsequent US-Iran negotiations in June have triggered a sharp decline in oil prices, with futures pricing in further drops, setting a favorable outlook for the third quarter of 2026.
Eurozone Composite PMI Edges Up to 49.5 in June, Activity Still Sluggish
The Eurozone composite PMI rose from 48.5 to 49.5 in June, indicating continued sluggish economic activity. However, easing price pressures in the survey are seen as dovish for policy expectations.
Iran rules out early nuclear talks, refuses missile negotiations
Iran reaffirmed its red line on military issues on Tuesday, ruling out early nuclear talks and refusing to negotiate on missile capabilities.
Wealth Preservation Gap: How High-Net-Worth Investors View Gold Differently
As wealth accumulates, the primary financial question shifts from growth to preservation. High-net-worth investors approach gold with a distinct mindset focused on capital protection.
PCE Data May Fuel Bets on Early Fed Rate Hike Under Warsh
Upcoming PCE inflation figures could bolster expectations for an early Federal Reserve rate hike, as new Chair Kevin Warsh conducts his first FOMC meeting on June 16.
Brent Falls Below $80 as Strait of Hormuz Risk Premium Fades
Oil prices slipped as easing US–Iran tensions reduced the risk premium for Strait of Hormuz transit, according to OCBC's Christopher Wong.
Trump Signs Two Executive Orders on Quantum Leadership
President Donald Trump signed two executive orders on June 22 aimed at strengthening U.S. leadership in the quantum era, with a focus on protecting against advanced cryptographic threats while promoting commercial and scientific innovation.
Rabobank Cuts Brent and WTI Price Forecasts Through 2028
Rabobank lowered its Brent crude forecast for Q3 2026 to $79/bbl from $103, and expects Brent to average $74.50 in 2027 and $71 in 2028. WTI estimates were also reduced.