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Gold Options Bearish Positioning Hits Extremes: GLD Put-Call Skew Near Record
The 6-month put-call skew on GLD has risen to 1.03, near its highest since 2017, while the 3-month skew hit a record 1.19, indicating extremely crowded bearish positioning in gold options.
US Congress Advances Bill Banning Fed CBDC Until 2030
The US Senate and House have agreed to advance the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, which prohibits the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC) until December 31, 2030. Private stablecoins are exempt from the restriction.
Sterling Slides on Soft UK CPI, US Retail Sales Support Dollar
The British pound fell toward 1.3400 against the U.S. dollar after weaker-than-expected UK inflation data reduced the likelihood of a Bank of England rate hike, while strong U.S. retail sales boosted the greenback.
AUD/USD Steady Near 0.7070 on Improved Risk Sentiment
The Australian Dollar holds firm against the US Dollar as risk sentiment improves following comments from Trump on Iran. The pair trades around 0.7070 with a neutral tone.
US and Iran Discuss Moving Up Iran Deal Signing
Axios reports that the US and Iran are negotiating to advance the signing of the Iran deal from Friday to as early as today, with an electronic signing and immediate effect on Strait of Hormuz provisions.
US and Iran Discuss Moving Up Iran Deal Signing to Today
The US and Iran are reportedly discussing accelerating the signing of the Iran agreement from Friday to as early as today. If finalized, the MOU would be signed electronically and parts concerning the Strait of Hormuz would take effect immediately.
Record $5.15 Trillion S&P 500 Options Expiry to Fuel Volatility
A record $5.15 trillion in S&P 500 options are set to expire on June 19, the largest monthly expiration ever. The removal of hedging positions tied to geopolitical risks may amplify market swings.
Hyperliquid Open Interest Tops $10B, Now Third-Largest Perps Platform
Hyperliquid's open interest has surpassed $10 billion, making it the third-largest perpetual futures exchange, according to a Talos report. Growth was driven by traditional asset markets and third-party DEXs under HIP-3.
Macron: Trump Acknowledges Russia Unwilling to Make Peace at G7
French President Macron stated that Donald Trump and other G7 leaders recognized Russia's lack of willingness to pursue peace in Ukraine, marking a shift in the U.S. approach.
Macron: G7 Must Regulate AI, Keep Frontier Models from Authoritarian Regimes
French President Emmanuel Macron calls for tighter regulation of the AI sector and warns that advanced AI frontier models must not fall into the hands of authoritarian regimes, urging democratic cooperation.
Japan and Trump reaffirm broad cooperation on security and economy
Japanese official Takaichi stated that after discussions with President Trump, both sides confirmed continued high-quality cooperation across security and economic areas based on a strong trust relationship.
Brent Oil Outlook: Bears May Pause Above 200-Day MA
Brent crude fell over 15% in four days amid a US-Iran peace deal narrative, approaching levels seen at the start of the recent move. The 200-day moving average could provide support for a brief consolidation.
Fed Meeting May Mark Formal End of Easing Bias, Markets Could Be Disappointed
Today's Federal Reserve meeting is expected to signal the formal death of the easing bias, as resilient US economy and rising inflation pressures remove the case for rate cuts. Markets may be disappointed by a hawkish stance.
US Gold Reserves: Fort Knox Holds 60% of Treasury Stockpile
Fort Knox in Kentucky holds approximately 147.3 million troy ounces of gold, representing about 60% of total US government gold reserves. Other major depositories include West Point and Denver.
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Holds Rate Steady at 3.5%-3.75% in First FOMC Meeting
At his first FOMC meeting as Federal Reserve Chair, Kevin Warsh maintained a wait-and-see approach, keeping the benchmark interest rate unchanged in the 3.5% to 3.75% range.
New Zealand Dollar Weakens to 0.5820 Amid Pre-Fed Risk Aversion
NZD/USD fell 0.24% to 0.5820 as investor confidence hits its lowest since 2023 ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision.
Sweden May CPIF Inflation Forecast at 2.6% as Oil Drops Below $80
Sweden's CPIF inflation forecast for May stands at 2.6% with constant taxes, while oil prices have fallen below $80 per barrel amid easing Middle East tensions, though geopolitical risks persist.
BoJ Hikes Rate to 1.0% but Yen Continues to Fall
Despite the Bank of Japan raising its policy rate to 1.0%, the Japanese yen remains under pressure as analysts say the hike is insufficient to trigger a sustained recovery.
ECB's Sleijpen Says Repeat of 2022 Inflation Less Likely but Risk Remains
European Central Bank policymaker Olaf Sleijpen indicated that a repeat of the 2022 inflation spike is less probable, but the possibility cannot be entirely dismissed.
Fed voters show hawkish tilt, limiting scope for Warsh's rate-cut push
According to FXStreet's Speech Tracker, most FOMC voters are hawkish or leaning hawkish, with 6 of 11 scoring 6.0 or higher. This suggests strong internal resistance to aggressive easing, even if nominee Warsh pushes for cuts.
Low FX Volatility Ahead of Fed Decision as Traders Remain Skeptical on Iran Deal
FX trading activity was extremely thin on the day before the Fed meeting, with traders showing skepticism despite seemingly favorable news on the Iran war. Uncertainty over the Iran deal and other factors kept markets subdued.
Canadian Dollar Holds Near Recent Lows as Oil Slump, Fed Outlook Weigh
USD/CAD trades around 1.4010 on Wednesday, gaining 0.10% on the day. The pair maintains a bullish tone as the Canadian Dollar remains under pressure from falling oil prices and positioning ahead of the Fed's monetary policy decision.
USD/CAD Range-Bound as Markets Eye Canadian, US Data - NBC
Analysts at National Bank of Canada note that USD/CAD remains range-bound, with moves driven by shifting expectations for Bank of Canada and Federal Reserve policies amid upcoming data releases.
US Retail Sales Surge 0.9% MoM in May, Beating Expectations
US retail sales rose 0.9% month-over-month in May to $763.7 billion, exceeding the 0.5% forecast and accelerating from the prior month's 0.5% gain. Year-over-year sales were up 6.9%.