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Opinions2 months agoยท 3 min read

Relative Strength Moving Averages

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In modern markets, performance is relative, not absolute.

Key question:

Is this asset outperforming alternatives?

Relative Strength (RS) answers this by comparing an asset to a benchmark.

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Chart: Asset and benchmark prices
Chart: Asset and benchmark prices

Both may rise โ€” yet capital can still rotate away from one of them.

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Relative Strength ratio:

RS = Asset / Benchmark

Applying moving averages:

  • smooths noise
  • reveals persistence
  • defines leadership regimes
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Chart: RS line with fast and slow MAs
Chart: RS line with fast and slow MAs

Interpretation:

  • RS above MA โ†’ outperformance
  • Fast MA > Slow MA โ†’ sustained leadership
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RSMA reflects capital allocation, not prediction.

Leadership trends persist until flows change.

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Chart: RS regime oscillator
Chart: RS regime oscillator
  • Above zero โ†’ outperformance regime
  • Below zero โ†’ underperformance regime

This acts as a bias filter, not an entry trigger.

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ToolMeasuresRSIInternal momentumRSMARelative performance

The strongest trends occur when:

  • price trend is up
  • RSI holds bullish range
  • RSMA confirms leadership
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  • Equities: sector and stock selection
  • Crypto: ALT / BTC rotation
  • Macro: risk-on vs defensive shifts
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  • RSI defines momentum health
  • RSMA defines capital leadership

Together, they form a modern momentum framework suited for ETF-driven, algorithmic markets.

Alpha no longer comes from prediction โ€” it comes from alignment with flows.

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