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Everyone is panicking about this dip to $63,000. I get it. Red candles are scary. But the on-chain data is telling a completely different story, and it reminds me of a hard lesson I learned back in 2020: price is often just noise distracting you from the real signal. The signal right now? Glassnode just reported that whale-sized wallets have accumu...
I saw the Grayscale note this morning while checking the funding rates. XRP is now the second most-cited cryptocurrency after BTC. The social media crowd is ecstatic. My first thought? So what. I've been in this market since 2017, and I learned one thing the hard way during the 2018 crash: social chatter and actual capital flow are two completely d...
I keep seeing this narrative pop up: Ethereum is on the verge of a massive rally because of a 9-month cycle. My first thought this morning, looking at my Glassnode dashboard? That's chart astrology. While traders are busy drawing circles on a calendar, they're missing the hard data that actually moves markets. I survived the 2018 crash by ignoring ...
Last time we saw a leveraged flush-out this clean was back in early March. Everyone is glued to the charts, but honestly, the price is the least interesting part of this story. While Bitcoin took a 4.3% haircut down to $65,073, the real action is happening beneath the surface in the DeFi ecosystem. My colleague Marcus Cole is probably drawing trian...
Woke up to a sea of red on the monitors. Classic. A sharp -4.3% liquidation cascade took Bitcoin down to the $65,000 level, dragging the rest of the market with it. My morning routine of checking funding rates and open interest showed exactly what I expected: a much-needed flush of over-leveraged longs. While many are panicking, I see this as a cri...
Everyone on Twitter is screaming about the latest Ethereum updates being a game-changer. I get it. Lower fees, better scalability... it's a great narrative. But I'm looking at my screens, and the price action is telling a completely different story. We're watching ETH bleed out, currently struggling to hold $1,865, down over 5% while the rest of th...
Let me guess, you saw the headlines this morning. 'Bitcoin Plunges on Trump Tariff Uncertainty.' It's a neat, tidy narrative that fits nicely into a two-minute cable news segment. But it's also complete nonsense. The real reason BTC tumbled from over $68,000 to test $65,900 has nothing to do with politics and everything to do with greed. The on-cha...
This morning, my routine started as usual: coffee, and a deep scan of DefiLlama. But something jumped out from my custom dashboard. The 'Real Yield' sector has seen its fee generation quietly climb by over 30% this quarter, while its Total Value Locked (TVL) only grew by 12%. That tells me these protocols are becoming brutally capital efficient. Th...
According to recent market presentations, Google search queries for “BTC will go to zero” are now higher than during the 2022 bear market, reflecting a sharp spike in retail pessimism.
On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant suggests that Bitcoin has not yet entered a phase of “full capitulation.”
