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Stop Watching news - Start Making it.

A Reuters poll dropped this morning saying analysts see the S&P 500 hitting 7500 by the end of 2026. That's a nice headline. But I quit my marketing job in 2019 to trade the charts, not analyst predictions. Last time we saw this kind of blue-sky forecasting was late 2021, right before everything dumped. So forgive me if I focus on the price action ...

I almost made a mistake this week. A big one. Looking at the daily chart for BTC, seeing the chop around $64,000, my finger was hovering over the sell button for some of my altcoin swing positions. The price action looked weak, tired. My morning routine of checking funding rates and open interest showed a market bleeding out slowly. But before I di...

Headlines don't move markets, order flow does. You probably saw the news that FedEx (FDX) is suing the US government for a tariff refund. My phone blew up with alerts. But honestly? I don't care about the legal arguments or the long-term implications. While analysts like Sarah Chen are probably digging through the filings to see how this affects Q4...

I saw the Grayscale note this morning while checking the funding rates. XRP is now the second most-cited cryptocurrency after BTC. The social media crowd is ecstatic. My first thought? So what. I've been in this market since 2017, and I learned one thing the hard way during the 2018 crash: social chatter and actual capital flow are two completely d...

This morning, the first number I checked wasn't a crypto price. It was the 90-day correlation coefficient between BTC and the S&P 500. It’s sitting around 0.4, a level that makes most crypto natives feel comfortable, even complacent. They think decoupling is here. They're wrong. In a real risk-off panic, that correlation snaps to 0.8 or higher in a...

The internet is buzzing with MicroStrategy's peak unrealized loss of $9.5 billion on its Bitcoin holdings. I've seen the headlines. And frankly, they're missing the entire point. This isn't a story about a loss; it's a story about conviction, and it's a perfect example of how traditional finance mindsets completely fail to grasp this asset class. W...

So, the Pentagon is getting its hands on Grok AI. The headlines are screaming. AI coins are getting a little speculative bid. And my first thought this morning? I couldn't care less. This is the kind of news that gets retail traders absolutely wrecked. It's pure, uncut narrative, and it's a dangerous drug. While everyone is chasing the story, I'm w...

I keep seeing this narrative pop up: Ethereum is on the verge of a massive rally because of a 9-month cycle. My first thought this morning, looking at my Glassnode dashboard? That's chart astrology. While traders are busy drawing circles on a calendar, they're missing the hard data that actually moves markets. I survived the 2018 crash by ignoring ...

Last time we saw a leveraged flush-out this clean was back in early March. Everyone is glued to the charts, but honestly, the price is the least interesting part of this story. While Bitcoin took a 4.3% haircut down to $65,073, the real action is happening beneath the surface in the DeFi ecosystem. My colleague Marcus Cole is probably drawing trian...

Woke up to a sea of red on the monitors. Classic. A sharp -4.3% liquidation cascade took Bitcoin down to the $65,000 level, dragging the rest of the market with it. My morning routine of checking funding rates and open interest showed exactly what I expected: a much-needed flush of over-leveraged longs. While many are panicking, I see this as a cri...