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I almost made a mistake this week. A big one. Looking at the daily chart for BTC, seeing the chop around $64,000, my finger was hovering over the sell button for some of my altcoin swing positions. The price action looked weak, tired. My morning routine of checking funding rates and open interest showed a market bleeding out slowly. But before I di...

Everyone is panicking about this dip to $63,000. I get it. Red candles are scary. But the on-chain data is telling a completely different story, and it reminds me of a hard lesson I learned back in 2020: price is often just noise distracting you from the real signal. The signal right now? Glassnode just reported that whale-sized wallets have accumu...

I saw the Grayscale note this morning while checking the funding rates. XRP is now the second most-cited cryptocurrency after BTC. The social media crowd is ecstatic. My first thought? So what. I've been in this market since 2017, and I learned one thing the hard way during the 2018 crash: social chatter and actual capital flow are two completely d...

This morning, the first number I checked wasn't a crypto price. It was the 90-day correlation coefficient between BTC and the S&P 500. It’s sitting around 0.4, a level that makes most crypto natives feel comfortable, even complacent. They think decoupling is here. They're wrong. In a real risk-off panic, that correlation snaps to 0.8 or higher in a...

The internet is buzzing with MicroStrategy's peak unrealized loss of $9.5 billion on its Bitcoin holdings. I've seen the headlines. And frankly, they're missing the entire point. This isn't a story about a loss; it's a story about conviction, and it's a perfect example of how traditional finance mindsets completely fail to grasp this asset class. W...

I keep seeing this narrative pop up: Ethereum is on the verge of a massive rally because of a 9-month cycle. My first thought this morning, looking at my Glassnode dashboard? That's chart astrology. While traders are busy drawing circles on a calendar, they're missing the hard data that actually moves markets. I survived the 2018 crash by ignoring ...

Last time we saw a leveraged flush-out this clean was back in early March. Everyone is glued to the charts, but honestly, the price is the least interesting part of this story. While Bitcoin took a 4.3% haircut down to $65,073, the real action is happening beneath the surface in the DeFi ecosystem. My colleague Marcus Cole is probably drawing trian...

Woke up to a sea of red on the monitors. Classic. A sharp -4.3% liquidation cascade took Bitcoin down to the $65,000 level, dragging the rest of the market with it. My morning routine of checking funding rates and open interest showed exactly what I expected: a much-needed flush of over-leveraged longs. While many are panicking, I see this as a cri...

See that big red candle on the BTC chart? Scared yet? The timeline is full of people calling for a nuke to $60k after this 4.3% drop. And honestly, the market wants you to be scared. It wants you to sell your bags right at the point of maximum pain. But I'm looking at the chart, and I'm seeing a completely different story. This isn't a breakdown. I...

My entire feed this morning is a sea of red. Bitcoin just sliced through $66,000, Ethereum is struggling to hold $3,500, and the CoinMarketCap 'Fear & Greed' index is apparently at its historical maximum for gloom. Total panic. While traders like Marcus Cole are probably staring at 4-hour charts looking for a bounce, I'm doing the opposite. I'm tur...