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Stop Watching news - Start Making it.

The S&P 500's forward P/E ratio crossed my screen this morning at 19.5x. That single number is why I'm taking Fundstrat's call on a market bottom with a serious grain of salt. While many are celebrating the recent bounce off the lows, that multiple is still stubbornly above the 10-year average of 17.8x. A true, durable bottom isn't just a pause in ...

So here's what nobody seems to be talking about with the private credit sell-off today. Yes, the headlines are ugly. Seeing names like Blackstone (BX) down 8% and Ares (ARES) getting hit for a staggering 11% intraday is enough to make anyone nervous. The narrative is that the high-rate environment is finally cracking the foundation of the private m...

So here’s what nobody is talking about this morning. Everyone is seeing the headlines – South Korean KOSDAQ plummets 13%, trading halted – and immediately jumping to the lazy conclusion. They're blaming energy supply fears through the Strait of Hormuz. And while that's a factor, it’s not the real story. The real story is that the market just sent u...

Circle's latest numbers prove the most valuable crypto play has nothing to do with price speculation. It's a boring, high-margin payments business that Wall Street is completely sleeping on. While the headlines scream about Bitcoin hitting new highs, I've been digging into the 10-K equivalents for private companies like Circle. The results are stag...

The top ten stocks in the NASDAQ 100 now make up over 55% of the index's entire market cap. Let that sink in. For years, the strategy has been simple: buy the QQQ and watch it run. But I'm seeing a fundamental fracture beneath the surface that this passive approach is completely ignoring. While the market is chasing the same handful of names, it's ...