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The knee-jerk reaction to the WSJ report on the UAE and the Strait of Hormuz this morning was predictable: Brent crude futures jumped over 4%. But chasing that spike is a rookie mistake. I read Jake Morrison's piece on fading the oil rip, and while I respect his tactical view on short-term exhaustion, I believe focusing on the commodity itself miss...
This morning, like every morning, I scanned the pre-market movers. Unsurprisingly, it's the usual suspects—the high-beta tech names. The entire conversation on FinTwitter seems to be about the looming NASDAQ correction how to trade it, and whether this is another dip to buy. I think that's lazy analysis. While everyone is performing the same tired ...
WTI Crude broke $95 a barrel this week. That number alone should give any strategist pause. When I saw Michael Hartnett's note from BofA floating around, connecting high oil prices and stress in private credit to 2008, it wasn't just another headline. It was a direct hit on two of the market's biggest blind spots right now. Everyone's chasing the l...
The bond market is sending a clear message that equity investors are choosing to ignore: the real cost of capital is much higher than we think. While the S&P 500 flirts with all-time highs, I was watching something else entirely this morning. Russia's Ministry of Finance placed bonds yielding a staggering 14.75%. This isn't just some esoteric data ...
