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Crypto Market10 hours ago· 5 min read

Ethereum's 10,000 TPS Plan: My ETH Price Forecast

Developers just dropped a roadmap that could end the 'ETH killer' narrative for good. But as a trader, I see both a massive opportunity and a trap.

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I almost threw my second monitor out the window on Tuesday. Seriously. I was trying to ape into a degen farm with a few hundred bucks—don't judge, we all have our vices—and the GWEI was so high my transaction fee was quoted at $128. For a $300 trade. I cancelled it, of course, and went back to my Glassnode dashboard, muttering about how this network is fundamentally broken for the little guy. And then, as if Vitalik himself heard my cries, the new Ethereum roadmap dropped. A plan for 10,000+ transactions per second, directly on Layer 1. My first thought? It's about damn time. My second thought? Let's see if the chart agrees with the hype.

Look, headlines are easy. 10,000 TPS sounds great. It's a number that finally puts Ethereum in the same ballpark as the so-called 'high-performance' chains. But the real alpha is buried in the details. This isn't just a speed boost; it's a fundamental overhaul of the user and staker experience. Surviving the 2018 crash taught me to read the fine print, not just the flashy announcements.

First, they're targeting an 18-second transaction finality. For anyone who's ever waited nervously for their exchange deposit to get enough confirmations, you know this is huge. It moves Ethereum from 'dial-up' speeds to something resembling broadband. Second, they're planning to lower the staking threshold to just 1 ETH. This is the decentralization play. More validators means a more secure network, period. It democratizes participation, which is the entire point of this space. It’s a direct challenge to the more centralized models we see elsewhere, a topic I know Luna Park has covered extensively in her deep dives on L1 competitors.

Alright, let's get to the charts—my bread and butter. The news sent ETH soaring +8.7% to over $2,070. It's a classic 'buy the rumor' event. Looking at the daily chart on my TradingView setup, we've cleanly broken above the $2,000 psychological level, which was acting as resistance for weeks. The next major hurdle I'm watching is the $2,140 zone, a previous high from back in April. If we can flip that to support, I see a clear path to $2,400.

  • Immediate Support: $2,000 - $2,020
  • Key Resistance: $2,140
  • Next Target: $2,400
  • Invalidation: A daily close below $1,920 (the 21-day EMA)

However, the ETH/BTC ratio is telling a slightly different story. It's still struggling to break out of its downtrend. This tells me that while ETH is strong, Bitcoin is stronger. My morning routine of checking on-chain data for Bitcoin still dictates my overall market bias. Until my on-chain analysis bitcoin metrics like exchange netflows turn decisively bullish for alts across the board, I'm treating this ETH pump with caution. It's a narrative-driven move, and those can retrace just as quickly. Jake Morrison often talks about how macro winds can cut these rallies short, and I think that's a risk here too.

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I've been in this game since 2017. I've seen more roadmaps than actual roads. The big question is: can they deliver? Ethereum's move to Proof-of-Stake was delayed for years. This new plan is ambitious, and software development at this scale is notoriously difficult. Competitors like Solana (SOL) are already doing thousands of TPS right now. They aren't waiting. While I believe ETH has the network effect and developer mindshare to win, this roadmap needs to hit its milestones. Any significant delay could see capital rotate back to the L1s that are already delivering on performance.

So, is Ethereum one of the best altcoins to buy now based on this news? For a swing trade, absolutely. I added a small long position around $2,050 with a tight stop below $1,980. But for my long-term hold portfolio? I'm waiting for confirmation. I need to see the on-chain data reflect sustained accumulation and developer activity moving towards these goals, not just a price pump on an announcement. Getting rugged on a few overhyped ICOs in 2018 made me permanently skeptical of buying promises.

Roadmaps don't print money, execution does. But for the first time in years, Ethereum's execution plan actually looks like it could kill the 'ETH killer' narrative for good.
Marcus Cole

This roadmap is a massive step forward, a direct answer to years of criticism. It addresses the network's biggest weaknesses head-on. If the core devs pull this off, the conversation changes completely. But that's a big 'if'. So, I'll leave you with this question: For years, we've been told L2s were the future of Ethereum scaling. If this L1 roadmap actually delivers, what happens to the entire L2 ecosystem and their tokens?

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