logo

📣 Create Blog for Traders!
Stop Watching news - Start Making it.

START
avatarcommunity
Opinions4 days ago· 4 min read

Nuclear Energy Mistake? Price Action Called It Months Ago

Forget the headlines. The charts on Uranium and Oil have been telling the real story. Here are the levels I'm trading right now.

So, Ursula von der Leyen finally admits Europe made a “strategic mistake” by ditching nuclear energy. Shocker. Anyone with a basic chart of the Uranium ETF $URA could’ve told you that six months ago. The market always moves before the politicians, and my job is to listen to the market, not the headlines. While everyone is now scrambling to understand the fundamentals, the price action already gave us the map.

I started building a small position in $URA back in January when it reclaimed the $30 level. The volume that came in on that move was insane — a clear sign of accumulation. It was a classic example of support and resistance trading. While the talking heads were debating policy, the chart was screaming accumulation. It chopped me up a bit last month, I'll admit — got stopped out on a nasty wick down to $29.50. But I re-entered when it held the 21 EMA on the daily. That's my rule: if the setup is still valid, take the trade.

Now we're consolidating above $32. This is the new floor. As long as we hold this, the next leg up targets the 2023 highs around $35. You don't need a complex geopolitical take like the ones Alex Volkov puts together; you just need to follow the money. And right now, the money is flowing into nuclear.

Uranium is a great story, but it's a slow burn. For my day trading, I need volatility. And Oil ($WTI) is where the action has been. It’s been stuck in a range between $82 and $86 for weeks. This is a dream for a price action trader. Fade the top, buy the bottom, and scalp the middle. Simple.

I know Sarah Chen probably has a whole macro thesis on inventories and OPEC cuts, and that's great for her. I just see a clear box on my chart. We just rejected $86 this morning. I'm short from $85.80, with a stop just above the highs at $86.30, targeting the middle of the range at $84. It's a clean 3.6R setup. If it breaks out, I'll flip long on the retest. That's it. No news required.

Let's be real, though. The energy plays are sideshows right now. The main event is crypto. Bitcoin just ripped through $70,000 again overnight. The volume on this move is what has my attention. My volume analysis trading shows this isn't a weak, low-volume fakeout. This is institutional money chasing the price up.

  • Current Position: Long $BTC from $70,250.
  • Target: Initial target is $72,800, the next major resistance.
  • Stop Loss: Tight stop at $69,400, just below the breakout zone.
  • Invalidation: A fast rejection and close back inside the old range below $69k.

This is one of the best day trading setups I've seen this quarter. A clean breakout, high volume confirmation, and clear skies above. Don't sleep on this.

***

Headlines tell you what already happened. Price action tells you what's about to happen. Trust the chart, not the news ticker.
Jake Morrison

Ultimately, the nuclear story is a long-term narrative play, while Oil and Crypto are offering high-probability setups right now. I'll keep my $URA shares as a long-term hold, but my daily P&L is coming from scalping these crypto and commodity ranges.

The bigger question is, are you a narrative trader or a price action trader? And which one do you think actually pays the bills at the end of the month?

BTCUSD Chart
BTCUSD chart · Powered by Finviz

77
8Comments