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DAX Chart Looks Best Amid Global Stock Collapse
While everyone panics over geopolitics, the German DAX is showing relative strength. I'm seeing a potential long setup that most traders are missing.

The world felt like it was ending Friday. Red across every screen, alerts firing off, and the word 'collapse' getting thrown around like free candy. The S&P 500 dropped almost 1.5%. But when I filter out the noise and just look at the charts, one thing is screaming at me: the German DAX actually held up the best. While everyone is freaking out, my price action-focused brain sees opportunity. This is where you find your edge.
Look, I get it. The headlines are ugly. And I’m not saying to ignore risk. But since I quit my marketing job in 2019 to do this full-time, I've learned one thing: the chart pays, the news doesn't. Last week's nuke was a perfect example. The catalyst was geopolitical, but the levels that were hit? They were on my whiteboard since Monday morning. The market simply used the news as fuel to test key technical zones.
While the US markets were carving nasty lower lows, the DAX printed a long lower wick on the daily candle right into a prior support zone. That's a sign of buyers stepping in. It's what I call the 'cleanest dirty shirt.' Everything looks bad, but this looks less bad. That relative strength is a massive clue. While Alex Volkov might be looking at VIX plays and broader macro fear, I'm zooming in on the price action right here.
My entire game is built on support and resistance trading. I don't need a thousand indicators to tell me what price is already doing. Here are the only levels I care about on the DAX (GER40) this week:
- Major Support: The 17,550 zone. This is the line in the sand for me. Bulls must defend this.
- Key Pivot / My Entry Zone: Looking for a retest of the 17,650 - 17,700 area.
- First Resistance: The 18,100 level. If we can reclaim this, the bulls are back in control.
- Volume Profile: The volume shelf from last month sits right around current levels, adding confluence to this support zone.
So here's the trade I'm stalking. I'm looking for an entry long around 17,680. My stop loss will be tight, just below the major support level at 17,480. That’s a 200-point risk. My first target is that resistance at 18,080, which gives me a clean 2:1 risk/reward. This is one of those classic swing trading strategies that work precisely because you're buying when fear is peaking. You're fading the emotional traders who are panic-selling into support.
The key is patience. I'm not just blindly buying the dip. I want to see price come down to my level, show a reaction on a lower timeframe (like the 1-hour), and then I'll pull the trigger. No reaction, no trade. Simple as that.
This setup isn't foolproof. Nothing is. A daily close below 17,500 would completely invalidate this bullish idea. If that happens, I'm out, and I'll flip my bias to short-term bearish. The biggest risk for me personally? Getting stopped out and then immediately jumping back in out of frustration. That's revenge trading, my Achilles' heel, and something I'm constantly working on. The market doesn't care about my P&L; it only cares about the next setup.
And we can't ignore external factors. We've got earnings season kicking into high gear, and as Sarah Chen often points out, a few bad reports from major companies could easily send the whole market down another leg, regardless of the technicals. So, as always, manage your risk.
In a sea of red, the chart with the least damage is often the first to recover. Don't sleep on the DAX's relative strength.
At the end of the day, I'm a tape reader. The tape on the DAX is telling me buyers are trying to make a stand here. Everyone else can have the panic. I'll take the setup. Am I crazy for looking to buy in this environment, or is calculated risk-taking the only way to actually make money in this game?
