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A Reuters poll dropped this morning saying analysts see the S&P 500 hitting 7500 by the end of 2026. That's a nice headline. But I quit my marketing job in 2019 to trade the charts, not analyst predictions. Last time we saw this kind of blue-sky forecasting was late 2021, right before everything dumped. So forgive me if I focus on the price action ...

This morning, the first number I checked wasn't a crypto price. It was the 90-day correlation coefficient between BTC and the S&P 500. It’s sitting around 0.4, a level that makes most crypto natives feel comfortable, even complacent. They think decoupling is here. They're wrong. In a real risk-off panic, that correlation snaps to 0.8 or higher in a...

Last time we saw a capital flow reversal this sharp was back in Q4 2022, just before the market bottomed. This morning, my pre-market scan lit up with a Bloomberg report: global funds have resumed buying Indian stocks. After a net outflow of $3.3 billion in January, they poured $1.7 billion back in this month. This isn't just noise; it's a signal. ...

I've been looking at the pre-market movers every morning, and the sentiment is getting dangerously euphoric. Everyone seems to think the AI-fueled rally in mega-cap tech is a one-way street. My detailed stock market analysis this week suggests this is precisely the kind of complacency that precedes a correction. The S&P 500 is trading at a forward ...

By Macroeconomic Market Strategy Team | Last Updated: February 16, 2026

The Nasdaq is currently underperforming the S&P 500, a divergence that analysts view as a potentially negative signal for US equities.