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The last time we saw this kind of sustained bleed-out after a euphoric top was late 2021. But this time feels different. We're now 159 days into the Bitcoin correction from its October 2025 peak above $126,000, and the market is grappling with a compelling, yet dangerous, narrative: the idea of shortening ATH cycles. Data shows the time between pea...
I almost made a mistake this week. Seeing a stock like Lambumiz (LMBZ) drop 18% in two weeks triggers that value-investor instinct. The temptation to buy a falling knife is always there, especially when the company hands you a simple, clean story for the decline. But as I learned at Goldman, the easy story is rarely the whole story.
I keep seeing this narrative pop up: Ethereum is on the verge of a massive rally because of a 9-month cycle. My first thought this morning, looking at my Glassnode dashboard? That's chart astrology. While traders are busy drawing circles on a calendar, they're missing the hard data that actually moves markets. I survived the 2018 crash by ignoring ...
The headlines are screaming it this morning: Bitcoin's mining difficulty just plunged 7.76% to 133.79 T. I can already see the fear-mongering posts about a 'miner death spiral' starting to circulate. They're wrong. I've been in this market since 2017, and if that first brutal bear market taught me anything, it's that miner capitulation isn't the en...
I was scanning Nvidia’s ($NVDA) latest 10-Q before my morning coffee, a habit from my Goldman days, and one number jumped off the page: a 387% year-over-year increase in quarterly revenue. The market loves it. The momentum is undeniable. But my mind immediately went to another filing I read years ago for a case study: Cisco's 10-K from the year 200...
So here's what nobody's talking about this morning. Everyone's losing their minds over Trump’s claim that Iran sent 10 oil tankers to the US under a Pakistani flag. The headlines are screaming, but on my screen, WTI crude is barely twitching. This isn't the 2000s. Geopolitical chest-thumping just doesn't hit the same, and if you're trading off it, ...
I almost made a mistake this week. As Bitcoin ($BTC) sliced through $67,000 and headlines screamed about a market slump, my finger hovered over the sell button on a swing position. It’s a primal reaction, one forged in the fires of the 2018 crash. But then I did what that bear market taught me to do: ignore the noise and check the data. What I saw ...
I almost made a mistake this week. A big one. With Bitcoin absolutely ripping to $72,368, I was seconds away from dumping my entire altcoin bag—my SOL, my DeFi plays, everything—and rotating it all into BTC. The capitulation felt real. My feed was a ghost town for anything but Bitcoin. Then I saw the Santiment data point: social media mentions of '...
So here's what nobody's talking about. I saw a headline this morning about SpaceX's plan for a million satellites potentially ripping a hole in the ozone layer. Wild stuff. Most traders would see that, scroll past, and go back to staring at their EUR/USD 5-minute chart. But for me, this is the entire game. This is the risk that doesn't show up on a...
I almost made a mistake this week. A new, low-cap RWA project was listing exclusively on KuCoin, and the temptation to ape in was real. I had the funds ready to transfer. But something in my gut, honed by three rug pulls and years of reading audit reports for fun, told me to wait. This morning, I'm glad I did. Seeing the news that Dubai's VARA has ...
